Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FTM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.656410 0.763198 0.879144 1.014040 1.166306 1.332487 1.527200
2025-01-05 0.475279 0.616788 0.784812 0.997470 1.257735 1.564084 1.949989
2025-01-12 0.360735 0.514726 0.712012 0.979739 1.329518 1.766521 2.348667
2025-01-19 0.285485 0.442960 0.658520 0.968958 1.397266 1.959145 2.742114
2025-01-26 0.239971 0.400901 0.634269 0.987868 1.498581 2.196148 3.204545
2025-02-02 0.203508 0.364202 0.609928 0.999773 1.586290 2.416334 3.655146
2025-02-09 0.173417 0.331325 0.585139 1.005330 1.661504 2.620328 4.092699
2025-02-16 0.153081 0.310543 0.575359 1.030785 1.765789 2.870271 4.608696
2025-02-23 0.133368 0.287116 0.557426 1.039768 1.843139 3.082800 5.079800
2025-03-02 0.110258 0.253070 0.516333 1.004710 1.845262 3.178237 5.377121
2025-03-09 0.099377 0.240688 0.511640 1.030555 1.947761 3.434629 5.934283
2025-03-16 0.089052 0.227522 0.503520 1.048770 2.037612 3.674714 6.477004
2025-03-23 0.083930 0.224986 0.516013 1.106907 2.202864 4.050748 7.263411
2025-03-30 0.072919 0.207256 0.496228 1.102463 2.257191 4.246449 7.768361
2025-04-06 0.062555 0.188882 0.472455 1.087356 2.290177 4.406940 8.222412
2025-04-13 0.054102 0.173355 0.452366 1.076893 2.329870 4.579746 8.703995
2025-04-20 0.049037 0.165532 0.448078 1.098019 2.430437 4.864088 9.388902
2025-04-27 0.044046 0.156825 0.440510 1.111188 2.515971 5.125412 10.045222
2025-05-04 0.039244 0.147563 0.430283 1.117316 2.587475 5.364309 10.672167
2025-05-11 0.036140 0.142677 0.429985 1.145193 2.704399 5.692238 11.471420
2025-05-18 0.032485 0.135210 0.422149 1.155028 2.784548 5.954934 12.163749
2025-05-25 0.027218 0.121060 0.394876 1.116657 2.760493 6.018122 12.493884
2025-06-01 0.025213 0.117601 0.395636 1.144947 2.880258 6.363255 13.358751